Friday, October 27, 2006

Updated Michigan Governor's Race Trends- Capital Viewpoint

This was such a pretty picture I had to steal it. Thanks go to Nirmal for doing all this work.




The blue line is Granholm, the red DeVos. Of course.



Five polls were done over approximately the same time period... for Granholm, they are showing almost a 10 point spread between them. It is a good sign that surveys are conducted over multiple days, to make sure that everyone who is "picked" eventually responds. This close to the election, people could be reacting to things that they see on TV on a day-to-day basis. This might account for some of the variation.



If anything, this is indicative that Granholm is continuing her lead and DeVos is continuing to lose support. This is supported by the increase in his unfavorability between last month and this month.



Still, given the variation in results its really tough to say.


So true. I think that most people have made up their minds by now, but as far as polls go- there are so many variables that play into results; the wording of the question, the breakdown of demos on respondents, on and on. I hope that between all of them we are seeing a true picture of what is happening out there.