Monday, November 06, 2006

Final Survey USA Poll: Granholm 51%, DeVos 45%

Survey USA is an automated poll which might account for the differences in numbers. (I really don't know, I'm speculating) They show only 1% undecided, far lower than the other "human" polls.

Go here for the breakdown on all the key races- on each they say the "crosstabs are stable", indicating they think this is a done deal.

It's the eve of the election and the candidates are nearing the finish line, but just how close is the race? The latest polls show very different numbers when it comes to the race for Governor.

In a Detroit Free Press poll released Sunday, the numbers show Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm leads Republican Dick DeVos 54 to 41 percent.

But our WZZM 13 exclusive Survey USA Poll shows the race is 6-percentage points closer with Granholm, harboring 51-percent of the vote and DeVos 45-percent.

Even though SUSA's methods are questionable, I believe that this race will end up about here, a 5 or 6 pt. difference, although I would love to see the Freep numbers. That would be fun.

The same goes for Stabenow-

Our Survey USA Poll also shows a closer race between Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow and Republican Mike Bouchard.

The Free Press reports a 53 to 34 percent lead, while Survey USA found a 52 to 42 percent lead.

Prop 2 is still all over the place, and makes me believe the theory that you can't poll proposals is true. SUSA had this to say-

Of those familiar with the initiative, 42% today are certain to vote 'Yes,' 39% are certain to vote 'No.' But: 20 percent are not yet certain how they will vote, 48 hours till polls close. Republicans support the measure 3:1. Democrats oppose 2:1. Independents split. Men support. Women oppose. Whites support. Blacks oppose. The rich support. The poor oppose. Suburban voters support. Rural *and* urban voters oppose. Late deciders are breaking evenly For and Against. Every vote will be critical in determining whether the measure passes or fails. The exact ballot language was not read to poll respondents.

Get out the vote efforts in Detroit and other big cities will be crucial to this one.